After watch-ing the federal budgetary process unfold over the past year, one might be sorely tempted to utter the timeless curse of a plague on both the houses. Unfortunately, if we are to bequeath to our children a thriving republic, we taxpayers cannot so easily dismiss the budgetary process. What we now witness is the continuation of the debate over the size and scope of government that animated the Federalist Papers. This is not to suggest the current antagonists compare favorably to Hamilton or Madison. Larry, Curly and Moe would seem a more apt similitude. Of course this leadership failure rests most painfully on the president, whose reliance on Joe Biden’s skills of persuasion is nothing less than a mark of weakness.
In the final hours, it was clear the poison pill of the fiscal cliff required too much courage for our “leaders” in Washington. So, we will have what, at first blush, appears to be the worst possible compromise. While the media has focused on the significant tax increase on wealthy households (those making more than $450,000 per year), the fact is taxes are now higher on every working family. The restoration of the 2 percent payroll tax cuts will hit especially hard. A household earning $40,000 yearly will have an $800 increase this year starting with the first paycheck this week. If you make $75,000 per year, you face a 2 percent tax increase; if it is $250,000, you will have a 0.8 percent increase; and if you make $500,000, it is 4.45 percent increase. That is respectively $1,500, $2,206 and $17,956 out of pocket.
The truly sad matter in all this is that our “leaders” have failed to successfully apprehend the long-term and short-term economics of the matter. That will make things worse both now and later. In the short run, our floundering economy cannot stand a big tax increase and spending cut. In the long run, we cannot sustain the level of spending we now have. This budget agreement raised taxes just enough to risk recession, but did nothing to forestall an inevitable debt crisis.